Mortgage Market Update: What’s Driving Rates Right Now?

Mortgage market update March 20 2026 showing oil prices and Jerome Powell impacting interest rates

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What’s Driving Rates Right Now?

Mortgage rates moved higher this week, with Freddie Mac reporting an increase in the average 30-year fixed rate compared to last week.

So what’s behind the move?

A big driver right now is renewed inflation concerns.

Rising tensions involving Iran are pushing energy prices higher, which can fuel inflation across the economy. At the same time, the Federal Reserve chose to hold rates steady, and recent comments from Jerome Powell made it clear they are not ready to begin cutting rates yet.

Adding to that, the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) came in hotter than expected — another signal that inflation may not be cooling as quickly as hoped.

When inflation expectations rise, mortgage rates tend to follow.

What This Means for Buyers

The key thing to understand is this:
this market can move quickly in either direction.

If energy prices stabilize or begin to decline, we could see inflation ease — and mortgage rates may improve along with it.

But timing the market perfectly is extremely difficult.

If you’re waiting for the “perfect” time to buy or refinance, it’s important to remember that rates can shift week to week.

Having a plan in place — and understanding your options — can put you in a much stronger position when opportunities arise.


Want to Stay Ready?

If you want to be prepared when the market shifts, the best move is to understand your numbers ahead of time.

At Morgan Financial, we help you build a strategy so you’re ready to act when the timing makes sense.

Reach out to us if you’re in Florida looking to buy or refinance. 

Professional headshot of Joe Harris, Chief Operating Officer at Morgan Financial, in a navy blazer and light blue shirt.

Chief Operating Officer

Joe Harris is the COO of Morgan Financial, where he oversees operations, sales, and marketing to ensure a fast, enjoyable, and consistent mortgage experience. With more than 25 years in the industry and over $1 billion funded, Joe combines deep expertise with a passion for helping clients achieve homeownership. He is also dedicated to training and equipping loan officers with the tools and strategies they need to thrive in a competitive market.

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